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Brexit Myth #2

September 8, 2019 5:40 PM
By Peter Dobbs, & Sir Ivan Rogers in Spectator

Brexit Myth #2 If we leave with no deal at least we will have finished with Brexit

We are told that the country is desperate to 'get Brexit finished' and appears to believe that short circuiting any negotiations for a deal and instead coming out without one will somehow end the wrangling. Some people seem to believe that even if there are serious economic and social costs it will somehow be worth it to 'get it all finished'. UK & EU flags

A few moments to reflect on the reality of where we are, should reveal that almost the exact opposite is true.

An article in the Spectator by Sir Ivan Rogers makes the following points.

If 'no deal' happens, the day to day consequences - malign or benign - will inevitably drown out all else in the news for months. No developed country will have done anything analogous in several generations, let alone by choice. ….

But this ought, nevertheless, to be secondary. The primary issue is our medium-long term destination. The central problem with 'no deal' is that it is being heavily (mis)sold as providing certainty, finality - a 'clean break' - when it would manifestly do nothing of the sort.

It encourages a public (many of whom are understandably fed up with the process and the game playing - on all sides - of the political class) to believe that 'closure' might be just weeks away. But this is completely spurious. The reality of 'no deal' is that it would leave all the most intractable issues about our future relationship with the EU unresolved, and leave it unclear whether there would even be a subsequent process to resolve them.

It would, in other words, be just the start, not the end.